A Bayesian paradigm for aircraft operational capability assessment and improved fault diagnostics

Borja Sanz Lopez, Antonino Marco Siddiolo, Partha Pratim Adhikari, and Matthias Buderath
Submission Type: 
Full Paper
phmec_16_066.pdf893.47 KBJune 29, 2016 - 5:51am

In recent years, Bayesian networks have been drawing attention of the industrial and research community especially in the field of diagnostics for the reasoning capabilities they offer under conditions of uncertainty.
Given the system of interest, a Bayesian network represents a graphical model of the system itself, in which the different players are linked to each other through probabilistic and causal relations. If the model is queried with appropriate statistical techniques, the whole approach can present several advantages over other data analysis methods. Among the others: 1) the approach can provide outputs even if some entries to the model are missing, due to the above mentioned dependencies between the players of the system; 2) the approach represents an ideal environment to include prior knowledge during the building up of the model, given the causal and probabilistic semantics; 3) a Bayesian network provides the possibility to learn causal relationships and gives therefore the possibility to improve the domain knowledge.
Airbus Defence and Space has been working on improving the aircraft diagnostics capabilities at component, sub-system and system level in terms of fault detection and isolation. The focus has been also to develop means for reasoning about the remaining operational and functional capabilities of the aircraft.
The initial outcomes have been tested on a simulation platform featuring a Data Acquisition Processing Unit, various computing nodes, on which the different aircraft systems (like the fuel system, the hydraulic system, the actuation systems, etc…) run. The data communication architecture of the platform is based on OSA-CBM (Open System Architecture for Condition-Based Maintenance).
Initial objectives of the project are: 1) to demonstrate the feasibility of integration of the concept within the above described simulation framework; 2) to develop means to allow an easy and structured translation of the system engineer knowledge in terms of a Bayesian network with associated conditional probabilities; 3) to provide a modular architecture for the concept facilitating effective coordination between the development-departments and efficient development and maintenance of the software and 4) to prove the scalability of the concept (i.e. applicability to systems of different sizes and reasoning on different levels from component to system level).
The candidate systems selected for the proof of concept are the fuel and the hydraulic systems of a generic aircraft. The results obtained so far look promising with respect to the above mentioned objectives of the project.

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Submission Keywords: 
Bayesian Netowrk
High Level Reasoning
fault isolation
Submission Topic Areas: 
Health management system design and engineering
Model-based methods for fault detection, diagnostics, and prognosis
Modeling and simulation
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