physics of failure

Dmitry G. Luchinsky, Vasyl Hafiychuk, Igor Kulikov, Vadim N. Smelyanskiy, and A. Patterson-Hine
Submission Type: 
Full Paper

Safety of the next-generation space flight vehicles requires development of an in-flight Failure Detection and Prognostic (FD&P) system. Development of such system is challenging task that involves analysis of many hard hitting engineering problems across the board. In this paper we report progress in the development of FD&P for the re-contact fault between upper stage nozzle and the inter-stage caused by the first stage and upper stage separation failure.

Publication Control Number: 
066
Submission Keywords: 
physics of failure
diagnostics and prognostics
stage separation failure
structural stability
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Richard Heine and Donald Barker
Submission Type: 
Full Paper

Reliability is a key parameter for the development of safe and effective military vehicles with a reasonable life cycle cost. One innovative technology that is being promoted in the Department of Defense is the use of Health and Usage Monitoring Systems and remaining life prognostics to improve reliability and availability. The feasibility of using data collected from a limited set of existing and simple add-on sensors to make fatigue damage estimations on a complexly loaded component within a military wheeled vehicle system was investigated.

Publication Control Number: 
043
Submission Keywords: 
prognostics
physics of failure
military vehicles
health monitoring
multiaxial fatigue
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Rodney A. Martin, Mark A. Schwabacher, and Bryan L. Matthews
Submission Type: 
Full Paper

In this paper, we will assess the performance of a data-driven anomaly detection algorithm, the Inductive Monitoring System (IMS), which can be used to detect simulated Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system failures. However, the ability of IMS to detect these failures in a true operational setting may be related to the realistic nature of how they are simulated. As such, we will investigate both a low fidelity and high fidelity approach to simulating such failures, with the latter based upon the underlying physics.

Publication Control Number: 
041
Submission Keywords: 
anomaly detection
deployed applications
physics of failure
data driven methods
Data-driven detection methodologies
simulation
applications: space
space vehicles
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Bhaskar Saha and Kai Goebel
Submission Type: 
Full Paper
Supporting Agencies (optional): 
NASA

This paper presents an empirical model to describe battery behavior during individual discharge cycles as well as over its cycle life. The basis for the form of the model has been linked to the internal processes of the battery and validated using experimental data. Subsequently, the model has been used in a Particle Filtering framework to make predictions of remaining useful life for individual discharge cycles as well as for cycle life. The prediction performance was found to be satisfactory as measured by performance metrics customized for prognostics.

Publication Control Number: 
038
Submission Keywords: 
accelerated testing
batteries
battery health algorithms
battery power management
lithium-ion batteries
particle filtering
physics of failure
remaining useful life (RUL)
state of charge estimation
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Xuefei Guan, Yongming Liu, Abhinav Saxena, Jose Celaya, and Kai Goebel
Submission Type: 
Full Paper

In this paper, a maximum entropy-based general framework for probabilistic fatigue damage prognosis is investigated. The proposed methodology is based on an underlying physics-based crack growth model. Various uncertainties from measurements, modeling, and parameter estimations are considered to describe the stochastic process of fatigue damage accumulation. A probabilistic prognosis updating procedure based on the maximum relative entropy concept is proposed to incorporate measurement data.

Publication Control Number: 
022
Submission Keywords: 
crack detection
damage detection
damage modeling
damage propagation model
fatigue crack growth
materials damage prognostics
model based prognostics
performance metrics
physics of failure
prognostics
remaining useful life (RUL)
structural health management
uncertainty management
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